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#244 Sean Guillory on Betting Intelligence and National Security
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About this episode
The Cognitive Crucible is a forum that presents different perspectives and emerging thought leadership related to the information environment. The opinions expressed by guests are their own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of or endorsement by the Information Professionals Association. During this episode, Sean Guillory discusses the rapid ascent of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi which are transforming global events into tradable assets. Recording Date : 23 Feb 2026 Research Question: Sean Guillory suggests an interested student or researcher examine: How appropriators fund research in this space Study feedback loops Incentive-based forecasting Political promises…