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The Rush Lindell Show

The Rush Lindell Show

Tuesday: Silver's Wipeout Call vs. Cook's Cold Feet

Sep 22, 2026 · 20m

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Tuesday, September 22: Nate Silver just called the political forecasting industry asleep at the wheel — and Rush Lindell and Reagan put his brand-new FLIPR model on trial to see if he's right. This episode breaks down whether Silver's Senate and House projections actually hold up against the old guard, or if it's just a louder spreadsheet. Topics covered include the FLIPR model's Senate numbers versus prediction markets and Cook Political Report's toss-up list; the historical midterm precedent Silver leans on to argue for a Democratic wave; a head-to-head of three competing House forecasts and why they diverge so sharply; and the pivotal Cook downgrade on New Hampshire that undercuts…