Kalshi’s Tarek Mansour vs. the Federal Government

About this episode

Tarek Mansour calls himself a paranoid risk manager - the guy who can list 20 ways a hot air balloon will go down before it leaves the ground. Then he bet his entire company on suing its own regulator. Kalshi spent years walking through the desert. The CFTC pocket-vetoed its election markets ahead of the 2022 midterms, people left, and the company took a layoff while the government piled on audits and enforcement actions. Death by a thousand paper cuts. Instead of pivoting, Tarek and co-founder Luana Lopes Lara sued the federal government against the guidance of nearly all their investors and advisors. They won, three and a half weeks before the 2024 election, and Kalshi now claims 95% U.S.…